Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Jan 26th, 2022

Shaun Zipursky • January 26, 2022

Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, removes exceptional forward guidance.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

January 26, 2022

The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ %, with the Bank Rate at ½ % and the deposit rate at ¼ %. With overall economic slack now absorbed, the Bank has removed its exceptional forward guidance on its policy interest rate. The Bank is continuing its reinvestment phase, keeping its overall holdings of Government of Canada bonds roughly constant.

The global recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic is strong but uneven. The US economy is growing robustly while growth in some other regions appears more moderate, especially in China due to current weakness in its property sector. Strong global demand for goods combined with supply bottlenecks that hinder production and transportation are pushing up inflation in most regions. As well, oil prices have rebounded to well above pre-pandemic levels following a decline at the onset of the Omicron variant of COVID-19. Financial conditions remain broadly accommodative but have tightened with growing expectations that monetary policy will normalize sooner than was anticipated, and with rising geopolitical tensions. Overall, the Bank projects global GDP growth to moderate from 6¾ % in 2021 to about 3½ % in 2022 and 2023.

In Canada, GDP growth in the second half of 2021 now looks to have been even stronger than expected. The economy entered 2022 with considerable momentum, and a broad set of measures are now indicating that economic slack is absorbed. With strong employment growth, the labour market has tightened significantly. Job vacancies are elevated, hiring intentions are strong, and wage gains are picking up. Elevated housing market activity continues to put upward pressure on house prices.

The Omicron variant is weighing on activity in the first quarter. While its economic impact will depend on how quickly this wave passes, it is expected to be less severe than previous waves. Economic growth is then expected to bounce back and remain robust over the projection horizon, led by consumer spending on services, and supported by strength in exports and business investment. After GDP growth of 4½ % in 2021, the Bank expects Canada’s economy to grow by 4% in 2022 and about 3½ % in 2023.

CPI inflation remains well above the target range and core measures of inflation have edged up since October. Persistent supply constraints are feeding through to a broader range of goods prices and, combined with higher food and energy prices, are expected to keep CPI inflation close to 5% in the first half of 2022. As supply shortages diminish, inflation is expected to decline reasonably quickly to about 3% by the end of this year and then gradually ease towards the target over the projection period. Near-term inflation expectations have moved up, but longer-run expectations remain anchored on the 2% target. The Bank will use its monetary policy tools to ensure that higher near-term inflation expectations do not become embedded in ongoing inflation.

While COVID-19 continues to affect economic activity unevenly across sectors, the Governing Council judges that overall slack in the economy is absorbed, thus satisfying the condition outlined in the Bank’s forward guidance on its policy interest rate. The Governing Council therefore decided to end its extraordinary commitment to hold its policy rate at the effective lower bound. Looking ahead, the Governing Council expects interest rates will need to increase, with the timing and pace of those increases guided by the Bank’s commitment to achieving the 2% inflation target.

The Bank will keep its holdings of Government of Canada bonds on its balance sheet roughly constant at least until it begins to raise the policy interest rate. At that time, the Governing Council will consider exiting the reinvestment phase and reducing the size of its balance sheet by allowing roll-off of maturing Government of Canada bonds.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is March 2, 2022. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the Monetary Policy Report on April 13, 2022.

< Older Post Newer Post >

SHAUN ZIPURSKY

GET STARTED

How to Finance Renovations When Buying a Home in Canada

By Shaun Zipursky • September 30, 2026

Can’t Find the Right Home After You’re Pre-Approved? There’s Another Option The best place to start any home purchase is with a mortgage pre-approval. It gives you clarity around your budget and lets you shop with confidence. But what happens when you’ve been pre-approved, you know where you want to live—and nothing suitable fits your price range? This is a common challenge, especially for first-time homebuyers. Before buyer fatigue sets in, it may be worth considering a different approach: buying a home that needs work and financing the renovations as part of your mortgage . What Is a Purchase Plus Improvements Mortgage? A purchase plus improvements program allows you to buy a property and include the cost of approved renovations directly in your mortgage. This can be a great solution if: You can’t find a move-in-ready home within budget You’re open to renovations You want to customize the home from the start It opens up more options and can help you get into a location or property that would otherwise be out of reach. How the Process Works While the idea is straightforward, the process itself is structured and requires planning. Here’s a high-level overview: Renovation quotes are required upfront You’ll need detailed quotes for the work you want completed before final mortgage approval. Renovations must add value The lender must be satisfied that the improvements will increase the property’s value accordingly. Funds are reimbursed, not advanced You pay for the renovations initially. Once the work is completed and verified by an appraiser, the lender reimburses you and adds the cost to your mortgage. With the right guidance, this process is very manageable—but it’s important to understand the steps before committing. Is This Program Right for You? Purchase plus improvements isn’t for everyone. Buying a home is already a big undertaking, and adding renovations can increase stress—especially if timelines, budgets, or contractors become challenging. That said, if you’re financially prepared and like the idea of shaping the home to fit your needs, this program can be an excellent way to get more value and flexibility from your purchase. Final Thoughts If you’re struggling to find the right home after being pre-approved, you may not need to lower your expectations—you may just need a different strategy. If you’d like to explore whether a purchase plus improvements mortgage makes sense for you, feel free to connect. I’d be happy to walk you through the process and outline exactly what this option would look like in your situation.

Fell Behind on a Payment? Don’t Panic—Here’s What to Do

By Shaun Zipursky • September 23, 2026

Missed a Credit Card or Line of Credit Payment? Here’s What to Do If you’ve missed a payment on a credit card or line of credit and you’re worried about how it might affect your credit—or your future mortgage—this is for you. First things first: 👉 If you currently have an overdue balance, log in and make the minimum payment now. Seriously. Do that first. Everything else can wait. If You’re Only a Few Days Late Here’s the good news: Credit bureaus don’t record late payments until they reach 30 days past due. So if you missed a due date by a few days and paid it as soon as you noticed, it typically won’t show up on your credit report as a late payment—as long as you’re under the 30-day mark. That said, it never hurts to double-check. You can call your credit card company, explain what happened, and confirm the account is back in good standing. If you normally pay on time, they may even reverse the interest charged. It doesn’t hurt to ask. If You’re 30, 60, or 90 Days Behind If payments have gone past 30 days, your credit has likely been impacted—but the situation is still fixable. The most important step is to: Bring all accounts current as soon as possible Make at least the minimum payment on every account The faster you catch up, the more you limit the damage. Ignoring missed payments only makes things worse. If Cash Flow Is Tight If you’re struggling to make payments, communication matters. Contact your lender and keep them informed—even if you can’t pay right away. Lenders are far more willing to work with you when you’re transparent. What hurts your credit most is silence . If lenders don’t hear from you after repeated missed payments, they may write the balance off as bad debt and send it to collections. Collections can significantly impact your credit and stay on your report for years. How This Affects Mortgage Qualification Repeated missed payments can make qualifying for a mortgage more difficult—but timing matters. Once you’re back to making regular, on-time payments: Your credit can improve over time The impact of past mistakes becomes less significant If you’re planning to buy a home in the next couple of years, addressing credit issues early gives you far more options later. Final Thoughts Missing a payment doesn’t mean you’re “bad with money,” and it doesn’t mean homeownership is off the table. What matters most is how quickly you respond and how consistent you are going forward . If you’d like help reviewing your credit report or understanding where you stand from a mortgage perspective, feel free to connect. I’d be happy to walk through it with you and help you create a clear path forward.

What You Need to Know About Porting a Mortgage When Moving

By Shaun Zipursky • September 16, 2026

Porting Your Mortgage: What You Need to Know Before You Rely on It Porting a mortgage means transferring your existing interest rate, remaining term, and outstanding balance from your current home to a new one when you sell and buy again. While some lenders—especially big banks—make porting sound simple, the reality is that porting a mortgage is often complex and far from guaranteed . It’s not a magic solution, and it doesn’t mean you automatically get to keep your old mortgage on your new home. In many ways, porting a mortgage feels like applying for a brand-new one—often with more conditions . Here’s why. 1. You Still Have to Re-Qualify Even though you already have the mortgage, the lender will reassess you. If you: Changed jobs Moved to a new city Are on probation Switched industries or income types …the lender may decline the port. Your previous approval does not carry over automatically. 2. The New Property Must Be Approved The lender also reassesses the new property . Just because they accepted your previous home as collateral doesn’t mean they’ll approve the next one. Expect: A new appraisal A review of the property’s condition Scrutiny around marketability and value If the lender isn’t comfortable with the property, the port can fail. 3. Property Values Rarely Line Up Perfectly Most moves involve a price difference. Buying a more expensive home: You’ll likely need additional funds at a blended rate, which can increase your payment. Buying a less expensive home: You may face a penalty for reducing the mortgage balance. Either scenario can affect your costs. 4. You Still Need a Down Payment Porting doesn’t mean you “swap houses” without cash. You still need: A down payment on the new purchase Closing costs Funds available at the right time This often surprises buyers. 5. Penalties Usually Still Apply (At First) Most lenders: Charge the full mortgage penalty when you sell Refund it only after the port is successfully completed If you’re relying on sale proceeds for your down payment, this temporary penalty can create a cash-flow issue. 6. Timelines Rarely Line Up Perfectly Real estate markets don’t cooperate. You might: Sell quickly but struggle to buy Find a home quickly but wait months to sell Closing dates rarely align, which complicates porting even further. 7. Port Periods Vary by Lender This is where the fine print matters. Depending on the lender, the port window may be: Same day only 30 days 90 days Up to 6 months If the port window is short, both transactions must close within that timeframe—or the port fails. Longer port periods offer flexibility, but also carry the risk of selling first and not finding a replacement property in time. The Bottom Line Porting your mortgage can make sense—especially if you have a strong rate and are buying a similar-priced home. But it is not guaranteed , and it comes with conditions, risks, and timing challenges. Portability is a feature, not a promise. Before you rely on it, it’s important to review all your options , including whether staying with your lender actually makes financial sense. If you’re planning to sell and buy, I’d be happy to walk you through the process, explain your options clearly, and help you decide whether porting is the right move—or if another strategy makes more sense.